Author name: Vidfin

Stock Exchanges in India
banking, Personal Finance

Stock Exchanges in India – All You Need To Know

A stock exchange is a focal place for investors and traders to buy and sell different financial securities such as stocks, Exchange-traded Funds (ETFs), and derivatives like options and futures. It brings buyers and sellers together under one roof to trade and profit from market inefficiencies (different between buying and selling prices). With advancements in this space, investors can trade across the country as well as globally with ease. In this article, we will talk about Indian stock exchanges, their history, different stock exchanges in India and more.  What is a stock exchange and how did it begin in India? In technical terms, a stock exchange is a platform permitted and authorized by the government that lets a company list itself and provides a marketplace for investors/traders to transact a company’s shares. In India, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) regulates this space. In terms of market maturity, India is considered an emerging market because.  Established on August 31, 1957, the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) is India’s first official stock exchange. However, the history of the stock market in India is more vivid than this and dates back to the 19th century. The Native Share and Stock Broker’s Association was a known institution around 1875 for trading. It later became known as the predecessor of the Bombay Stock Exchange.  The Ahmedabad Stock Exchange began in 1894. However, it had the purpose to trade shares of textile mills; Ahmedabad was quite popular back then for its textile business. Followed by that, in different parts of the nation, new stock exchanges started to form, leading to where we are at present.  The stock market in India has its fair share of ups and downs, and as a result, in 1992, the regulatory body SEBI was established to ensure fair conduct and protect investors.  Learn Finance From Top 1% How many stock exchanges are there in India at present? 1. BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange Limited)  Established in the year 1875, BSE is India’s first official stock exchange platform. It is situated on the famous Dalal Street in Mumbai. 5500+ companies are listed on BSE, making it the 10th largest stock exchange globally. 2. NSE (National Stock Exchange of India) Inaugurated in 1992 and started functioning in 1994, NSE is a competitor of BSE. NSE is also India’s first electronic exchange. Because of that, investors across the country could buy and sell shares with more accessibility to the stock market. Since its inception, NSE has improved a lot on its tech part and innovations to provide better services to investors. 3. CSE (Calcutta Stock Exchange Limited)  CSE began in 1830 when a bunch of brokers gathered under a neem tree to seal their deals. This practice continued and in 1908, it officially became Calcutta Stock Exchange. Electronic trading was introduced at CSE in 1997; it is the second oldest stock exchange in the South Asia region. CSE is no longer in use, but the case against terminating is still pending in court which makes it an active exchange in India. 4. INDIA INX (India International Exchange) For international trading, INDIA INX leads the pack. Established on January 9, 2017, It is based in GIFT City, Gujarat at the International Financial Services Centre (IFSC). Investors can directly purchase and sell individual stocks on this exchange of nations such as the US, Canada, Australia, and Japan. INDIA INX has the Eurex T7 platform which is considered the most advanced tech in the world. 5. National Stock Exchange IFSC Limited Quite similar to INDIA INX in location and functioning, this exchange is a subsidiary of NSE. It was launched to help the nation attract better investment opportunities and expand its market size. 6. MCX (Multi Commodity Exchange of India) MCX, established in 2003, was initially formed under the Forward Market Commission and later merged with the SEBI. It is India’s first commodity exchange and is situated in Mumbai. It has also been ranked 7th in the largest commodity exchanges in the world. From gold to crude oil to wheat, a majority of commodities can be traded in MCX. 7. NCDEX (National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange) Established on April 23, 2003, NCDEX is an online commodity exchange having headquarters in Mumbai. NCDEX’s ownership is majorly divided between institutions, companies and large public banks. It is open 5 days a week between 10 am to 11:30 pm. 8. MSE (Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Limited) MSE began its operations in 2009. Currently, there are 1500+ companies listed on this exchange. Just like BSE and NSE, investors can buy or sell individual stocks on MSE. It offers trading in various segments including debt, equity, derivatives, and more. 9. ICEX (Indian Commodity Exchange Limited) ICEX is a commodity derivative exchange which is regulated by SEBI. It was established in August 2017 and is located in Mumbai. It allows trading to registered brokers for trading contracts across the nations. It is a permanently recognized exchange in India and is completely unique as it allows the trade of diamond derivatives as well.  How do companies get into a stock exchange? There are two ways for a company to get itself on a stock exchange.  i) IPO (Initial Public Offering): When a company decides to get listed on a stock exchange (go public), it offers IPO in the primary market. Investors apply for IPO and those that get allotments, receive the shares of that company. ii) Trading on the secondary market: All the shares are traded on the secondary market. Once the shares are offered under an IPO, it gets traded on exchanges like BSE, NSE, etc.  Final Thoughts Stock exchanges provide a medium for companies to get funds and investors with opportunities to get returns. With time, technology has advanced and stock exchanges have evolved with innovations, becoming more transparent and seamless. Investors can choose any exchange as per the instruments they want to trade via registering themselves on a broking platform and opening a Demat account.

Exponential Growth
Fundamental Analysis

What is Exponential Growth?

If you are connected to the financial or business world, chances are you would have heard about exponential growth. This concept is generally used for representing an increase over a specific period.  A lot of professionals have been using exponential functions to comprehend variables in their studies, support diverse business decisions and discover factors that are influencing enough for a gamut of data. However, before anything else, it is essential to understand how such an increase can occur exponentially, especially if you are working in a certain industry that repeatedly depends upon statistical information.  In this post, let’s explore the meaning of exponential growth, who can use it, why it is essential and how it can be calculated with an example.  What is Exponential Growth? Exponential growth is referred to a data pattern that shows greater increases with time. Thus, it creates an upward trending curve on the graph, known as the exponential growth curve.  In the field of mathematics, when a function includes an exponent (or a power), the calculation will increase exponentially. For instance, if hens laid eggs thrice every year and tripled per year, in the second year, the number would be 27, and it will be 81 in the third year.  Understanding Exponential Growth In the world of finance, compound returns lead to exponential growth. The power of compounding is one of the powerful forces in this industry. This one concept lets investors create more considerable sums with minimal initial capital. One of the most common examples of exponential growth is market-linked investments carrying a compound interest rate. Your investments see exponential growth because of compound interest when you invest money in a market-linked investment option for an extended period. This shows how you grow your investment exponentially with minimal initial outlay. If the account offers a compound interest rate, you will get interested in the principal and the interest amount received from the preceding period. For instance, in the first year, you might get 8% interest on a bond with a face value of Rs.100  that matures in 30 years. Thus, you will get Rs.8.  In the following year, this 8% interest rate will be applied to Rs.108 and not Rs.100, keeping in mind the interest payment you received in the previous year. Hence, with every passing year, interest payments continue to amass and will be considered in the calculations of yearly interest payments by the time your financial instrument reaches maturity. Exponential Growth Formula On a graph or a chart, the exponential curve begins slowly. It remains closely flat for a time before swiftly increasing to become almost vertical. The exponential growth formula is as follows: V=S×(1+R)^T where,  S is the starting value  R is the rate of interest and  T is the elapsed number of periods Importance of Exponential Growth  Data that generally increases exponentially is vital for several careers. Apart from this, it is specifically essential in the following domains: Finance and accounting Business and data analytics Scientific studies Research and development Jotted down below are some additional (but equally important) value-added points of exponential growth: Encourages Technological Innovation A lot of applications in the information technology and computer science industries depend upon statistical information for growth analysis. When developing artificial intelligence processes, machine learning algorithms, and automated software, programmers and data scientists may calculate exponential increases in results over time for a specific input in an environment that is surrounded by digitization.  For example, if a developer uses a specific algorithm as an input to create outputs over a certain period, calculating the growth can help comprehend whether or not the increase in value is an exponential function. Assists Professionals in Discovering Trends Whether in finance and business, technology, science or health care, exponential increases in any sort of information can communicate growing trends. For example, clinical researchers might use this factor to graph an increase in positive health results with new medications. On the other hand, business leaders might also use this function to discover trends in consumer markets, costs of advertising and brand development. Evaluates Important Financial Metrics The accounting and financial industries generally depend upon growth functions to figure out return projections for specific periods. One of the metrics is a compound return. It is an investment return type that accumulates on starting investment principal and any growth the investment comes across.  When compound returns accumulate, your investment account increases exponentially every time there is an increase in the principal. Such an exponential increase can also occur with loans in case of the interest compounds over time and is at an adaptable rate.  Exponential Growth Uses Often, exponential growth is used in financial modelling. While the concept is quite common in a high-interest savings account, the interest rates do not fluctuate or waver as much during several economic situations. But, when keeping stocks in mind, returns aren’t as smooth as anticipated.  Not just that, the technology sector uses growth rate calculations, such as AI design, machine learning and software development. Moreover, researchers and scientists use mathematical concepts, like exponential growth, to experiment and study several data.  This factor helps in: Classifying factors and trends that can cause a multiplying increase in varying financial metrics, such as assets and liabilities, expenses, revenues, investments and compounding interest Overall, the models of exponential growth are beneficial in predicting the returns of an investment when the growth rate is consistent and doesn’t oscillate recurrently. Final Thoughts Regardless of the industry, it is evident that exponential growth is a highly essential factor that helps you draw conclusions to varying hypotheses. It does not just help financiers but scientists and IT personnel as well, among others. So, whenever you wish to take a huge business or investment decision regarding growth, make sure you consider the exponential growth formula and calculate it thoroughly. 

Uncategorized

Fibonacci and the Golden Ratio in Finance

Introduction: Learning simple technical analysis takes you miles ahead in your journey of stock market trading/investing.  Technical analysis is very similar to leading a successful life. It focuses on strategy plus execution. Moreover, like a mentor, you just have to follow the trend line to stay afloat in the market.  Today, we talk about one of the most important ratios in technical analysis. There are some financial ratios that can help you study the stocks at the micro level, one such ratio is the Fibonacci also called the golden ratio. This ratio is symbolized using the greek capital “Φ” or with a small “φ”. We use these symbols instead of “PHI” because “π”. is an irrational number, that has no end. This formula was given by Leonardo Fibonacci, in his book ‘Liber Abaci’ that he published in 1228.  He mentioned a new number system that was different from the Roman numeral system that was prevalent during that era. This number system was eventually named after him. This is the Fibonacci number sequence 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597…etc. This sequence starts from 0, 1, 1, and every third number is the sum of its previous two numbers.  In the above case 1+1=2, then 1+2=3, 2+3=5 etc. What is the golden ratio? So one might wonder what is the Golden Ratio. The golden ratio is derived from the Fibonacci sequence. If we divide any number by its previous number, we always get 1.618033988749895… However, if we multiply any number in the sequence by 1.618…….. we always get the next number in the sequence. Fibonacci and the Golden Ratio One might wonder what is so important about the golden ratio. Well, several natural things adhere to the ratio of 1.618. It is believed that the Fibonacci ratio is one of the fundamental building blocks of nature. Golden Ratio Examples: Here are some examples of the Fibonacci golden ratio from our day-to-day life. Have you ever seen a bee hive? Did you know that if you divide the total number of female bees in the hive by the total number of male bees, you get a number around 1.618? This ratio can also be observed in several different components in nature. Besides this, some of the most renowned pieces of art are made on this golden ratio. The pyramids of Giza incorporate triangles whose dimensions are based on the golden ratio. Some other example of such a monument is the Parthenon in Athens.  The golden ratio Fibonacci seems like a naturally occurring phenomenon that is unavoidable. But this ratio works equally well for financial markets as they have the same mathematical base. Let us now understand the use of the golden ratio in the technical analysis of stocks: How to use Fibonacci Retracement Levels in Trading This golden ratio when further translated into percentages can be used for measuring the support and resistance levels of stocks. When the golden ratio is used for stock analysis there are four techniques that are mostly used. Fibonacci retracement, arcs, fans, and time zones. Here the golden ratio is converted into percentages. Typically, 3 percentages are widely used, to calculate the retracement levels of stocks. These are 61.8%, 38.2% and 50%. However, if required the other multiples like 23.6%, 161.8% and 423% can also be used. Fibonacci retracement It uses vertical lines to indicate support or resistance. The retracement levels of 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% are the key support and resistance indicators in the financial markets. The retracement is drawn using the high and low points of the chart. These lines help in recognizing the buying and selling momentum in the market. Typically, these retracements are plotted on a daily, weekly and monthly basis. Fibonacci Arcs: Arcs can be another way of plotting the support and resistance levels of stocks. This compass-like movement is represented in the form of half circles that intersect the high and low lines at 38.2 percent, 50 percent, and 61.8 percent. When the rally is big, the circle formed is wider. Since it is circular the price of the stock shows similar moves at support and resistance levels. These lines help in anticipating the trading ranges  Fibonacci Fans Fibonacci Fans are composed of diagonal lines that are spread within the high and low. After the highs and lows, an invisible horizontal line is drawn from the rightmost point of the chart. These lines are plotted on 38.20 percent, 50 percent, and 61.80 percent retracements. When the stock moves out of these lines, it indicated a strong breakout of a trend. Hence these lines indicate the areas of support and resistance. Fibonacci Time Zones: Unlike other methods, Fibonacci Time Zones is a series of vertical lines that analyze the time period when the price momentum was maximum. They are made by dividing the charts into vertical segments that are spaced according to the Fibonacci sequence (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). Fibonacci Time Zones can span a longer period, more the duration more potent the momentum. The analysis of these time zones can help eradicate the drastic volatility and results in a steady price movement. Conclusion: The Fibonacci studies in general are not intended to provide you with the entry and exit points in any given trade. The idea behind the use of this ratio is to determine the support and resistance levels of stocks. This ratio helps in making the appropriate buying and selling behaviour of the traders.  Golden ratio when combined with other technical indicators, helps in giving a more accurate forecast of the trade. For example: When the Fibonacci ratio is studied in conjunction with the candlestick patterns it can help one determine the right entry and exit points from a medium-term perspective. 

banking, Personal Finance

cheques

Introduction In today’s time, everybody who has a bank account have seen and used cheques and they play an important part whenever you need to transact money from these bank accounts. A cheque is a fundamentally important document that an individual, company and others use to withdraw or transfer money. There are various types of cheques available in our banking sector which have different requirements. So, let’s learn more about types of cheques. What is a cheque? A cheque is a document/paper which orders the bank to transfer money from the bank account of an individual or an organisation to another bank account. A cheque is a common form of a negotiable instrument. You need to have a savings bank account or current account in a bank, in order to issue a cheque in your own name or in favour of other parties, thereby ordering the bank to pay the said amount to whoever named in the cheque. It is one of the safest and convenient modes of payment transfers and you can transfer a high-value transaction without any hassle which would be very difficult if hard cash was used instead. This transaction needs to be handled very delicately as it can lead to some serious banking fraud. Parties to a cheque The parties that are involved with a cheque are:  Payee: The person named in the cheque who is to receive the payment  Drawee: The specific bank on which the cheque has been drawn   Drawer: The person who writes the cheque, who can be the account holder or the customer. The payee and drawer can be the same person.  Endorser: When the right to take the payment is transferred by the payee to another party, the payee is called an endorser. Endorsee: When the right to take the payment is transferred by the payee to another party, the party to which the right is transferred is called the endorsee. Features of a cheque    Cheques can be issued against savings or current accounts       A cheque is always drawn on a specified banker       It is an unconditional order       The payee of a cheque is fixed and certain and cannot be changed       The payment will only be made in the name of the payee/beneficiary       It is an instrument that is payable on demand ·        A cheque will be considered invalid if does not contain the date Types of cheques Open cheque An open cheque is a kind of leaf that a bank account holder can use to order the bank to make a payment to another party or deposit in his very own account. Bearer cheque In a bearer cheque, the money is made to a person who’s appearing on behalf of the payee/beneficiary, in whose name the cheque has been issued. In the leaf, it is a must to include the word ‘bearer’  in this kind of cheque. Self-Cheques A self-cheque is a cheque drawn in one’s very own call, because of this that the drawer and the payee are the same. You might write the word ‘’self’’  in the area for the drawee’s call at the cheque. It can simplest be encashed in the drawer’s financial institution. A self-cheque is to be used in conditions while you need to withdraw cash out of your very own account. It must be considered if one of these cheque falls in incorrect hands, it could be misused by any man or woman to withdraw cash from the financial institution from which the cheque is issued, so a self-cheque ought to be stored safely. Account Payee Cheques An account payee cheque is a bearer’s cheque that has the words ‘’account payee’’ written at the top left-hand side, within parallel lines, and crossed twice. This is also called a ‘’crossed cheque’’. It is the most secure way to issue a cheque as the amount written can be transferred only to that specific person’s account. Post-dated cheque A post-dated cheque is an account payee or crossed cheque that has a future date with a purpose to meet a financial obligation in future. It is legitimate for up to a few months from the date of the cheque’s issuance. Banker’s cheque Banker’s cheques are cheques which are issued by the bank so it guarantees payment. Traveler’s Cheque A traveler’s cheque is used when travelling as it is difficult to carry cash and coins and it is a more secure way. It may be encashed while travelling overseas wherein overseas forex is required. Stale Cheque A cheque in India is valid for 3 months from the date of issue. Any cheque which has been deposited three months after the date of the cheque being signed becomes a stale cheque. Blank Cheque A cheque which has all the fields blank except for the drawer’s signature, then it is called a blank cheque. Various parts of the cheque One needs to understand the different elements of the cheque to make sure that the cheque is written correctly. Here are some of the essential parts of the cheque-   Name of the bank is also called the drawee bank or payee bank  If there is a crossing on it and written a/c payee only, it is a directive to the bank to pay in the account of payee only.     In the pay section, you need to mention the name of the payee for whom you are making the cheque. Make sure that the name is spelt correctly. It is advised to draw a line on the space after writing the payee’s name so that no changes can be made.     In the date section, mention the date on which you want the money to be debited or transferred.     You should always cross the or bearer option so that if the cheque is stolen, it cannot be paid.     Mention the amount in words here and

Fundamental Analysis

Moving Average Convergence Divergence

Developed by Gerald Appeal in the late 1970s, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator or tool that is prevalently used in technical analysis. This tool helps understand the momentum and the directional strength by evaluating the difference between two time periods.  For those unfamiliar with this tool and who wish to make the most out of their trading and investments, this article covers MACD in detail. Let’s read further and find out more about this tool.  What is Moving Average Convergence Divergence? Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a technical indication tool that is majorly used to discover moving averages that indicate a new trend, whether bearish or bullish. With the help of a MACD chart, you will get to see three numbers used for the settings. The first one is the number of periods that helps calculate the faster-moving average. The second number is that of periods used in the slower moving average. The third one is the number of bars used to evaluate the moving average of the difference between slower and faster moving averages.  For instance, if there were 14, 26, and 9 as the MACD parameters, you will interpret it as: The 14 signifies a moving average of the last 14 bars. The 26 signifies a moving average of the last 26 bars. The 9 signifies a moving average of the difference between the two moving averages as mentioned above. What is MACD in Stock Market? In the stock market, the MACD is used to interpret the positives and negatives. In the chart, whenever the 12-period EMA is above the 26-period EMA, the MACD offers a positive value. And, if the 12-period EMA is below the 26-period EMA, it offers a negative value. The more distant the MACD is below or above the baseline, it signifies the growing distance between the two EMAs.  Often, MACD is showcased with a histogram, which outlines the distance between the MACD and the signal line. In a situation when the MACD is above the signal line, the histogram will be above the baseline of the MACD. If the MACD goes below the signal line, the histogram will also go below the baseline. When to Use MACD? If you are waiting for the best time to use MACD, know there is no best time. The MACD offers insights on possible divergence in any given time frame on the chart. Also, the best time frame you can use with MACD depends on the instrument, trade type, and stock you wish to create and execute a strategy for.  Moving Average Convergence Divergence Formula (MACD Formula) The formula to calculate MACD is: MACD = 12-Period EMA – 26-Period EMA This indicator is calculated by subtracting the long-term EMA, 26 periods, from the short-term EMA, 12 periods. An Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a kind of Moving Average (MA) that puts a greater weight and importance on the latest data points.  The EMA is also known as the exponentially weighted moving average. It reacts more suggestively to the latest price changes than a Simple Moving Average (SMA), which smears an equal weight to every observation in the period. How to Calculate MACD? The MACD showcases the changing relation of short-term exponential moving averages to long-term exponential moving averages. In a MACD chart, the short-term and long-term moving averages come close together (converge), move apart (diverge) and cross over each other. This equation is used to calculate the moving average convergence divergence.  Typically, analysts and traders use closing prices for 12-day and 26-day periods to create EMAs used to evaluate the MACD. After this, a 9-day moving average for the MACD line is plotted along the indicator that acts as a signalling line, helping to illuminate when a market might be turning.    The image above specifies the MACD line, the signalling line and the MACD histogram. These represent the difference between the MACD and the 9-day moving average. The histogram turns positive when the MACD Oscillator line crosses and moves beyond the 9-day average, which is the signalling line. On the contrary, the histogram turns negative when the MACD goes below the signalling line. 12-period and 26-period values are used settings to evaluate the MACD. Any change in the time period used for the calculation can be made to put up the specific trade goals of a trader or a specific trading style. MACD Trading Strategy Traders generally use MACD to discover changes in the severity or direction of a stock’s price trend. At first glance, the entire concept of MACD may turn out to be a complicated one as it depends on extra statistical concepts, such as EMA.  However, primarily, MACD assists traders in finding out when the latest momentum in the price of a stock might signal a change in the underlying trend. This, in turn, helps traders decide when to enter, exit or add to a position.  Using MACD with other Indicators Since it is a versatile trading tool that helps reveal price momentum, MACD is also helpful in determining the direction and price trends. Although the MACD indicator is strong enough to work as a standalone tool, its predictive functionality isn’t absolute. Thus, MACD can improve your advantage as a trader when used with other indicators. If you have to comprehend the trend strength and a stock’s direction, overlaying the moving average lines onto the MACD histogram will be extremely useful.   Conclusion Now that you have understood the meaning of moving average convergence divergence and know how to use it, you can move forward and calculate to comprehend how stocks are performing. This way, you bring momentum and trend into one indicator. As an investor, you can apply this trend to daily, weekly and monthly charts. 

Personal Finance, Technical Analysis

Modified Internal rate of return

Introduction You must have come across the term MIRR. MIRR is an acronym for Modified internal rate of return and is a commonly used finance term in capital budgeting and valuation of loans. MIRR is a measure to rank a particular investment’s alternative options in capital budgeting. MIRR is a modification of the Internal rate of return (IRR), which solves the issues revolving around IRR. Before diving further into this topic, let us first understand what MIRR is: Definition of modified internal rate of return: Modified Internal rate of return (MIRR) is a revised version of the Internal rate of return (IRR). MIRR calculates a reinvestment rate and accounts for even or uneven cash flows. It assumes that the positive cash flows are reinvested at the firm’s cost of capital and the financing cost as the discount rate for the firm’s negative cash flows, whereas the traditional internal rate of return (IRR) assumes cash flow from a project is reinvested in IRR itself. The MIRR thus more accurately reflects the cost and profitability of a project The major difference between IRR and MIRR is that IRR assumes that cash flow is reinvested at the same rate at which they were generated, whereas, In MIRR positive cash flow is reinvested at the reinvestment rate. An investment should be considered/undertaken if the MIRR is higher than the expected return. If the MIRR is lower than the expected return, the project should be rejected. Between two projects the one with higher MIRR should be considered. How do you calculate MIRR? To calculate the MIRR formula of a project we need to know three things: a) Future value of a firm’s positive cash flow discounted at the reinvestment rate. b) Present value of a firm’s negative cash flows discounted at the cost of the firm. c) The number of periods Mathematically, the calculation of MIRR is expressed using the following formula: MIRR =   n(FVCF/PVCF) -1 FVCF- Future value of positive cash flows discounted at the reinvestment rate PVCF- Present value of negative cash flows discounted at the financing rate  n – the number of periods MIRR is tedious to be performed by manual calculation, calculating it in spreadsheets is fairly easy. In applications like MS excel, it can be calculated using the following function  =MIRR (cash flows, financing rate, reinvestment rate). MIRR Example: There are two mutually exclusive projects X and Y and we have to decide which one is more profitable than the other. Project X has a life of 3 years with a cost capital of 12% and financing cost of 14% Project Y has a life of 3 years with a cost of capital of 15% and financing cost of 18% The estimated cash flow is as follows: Year Project X Project Y 0 -1000 -800 1 -2000 -700 2 4000 3000 3 5000 1500 Calculating the future value of positive cash flows discounted at the cost of capital. Project X: 4,000 x (1+12%) x1+5,000=9,480 Project Y: 3,000x (1+15%) x1+1500=4,950 Calculating the present value of negative cash flow discounted at the financing cost: Project X: -1,000+(-2,000)/ (1+14%) x1= -3,000 Project Y: -800+(-700)/ (1+18%) x1 = -1,500 Calculating the MIRR of each project Using the formula: MIRR  =   n(FVCF/PVCF) -1 Project X:   MIRR = 3(9,480/3,000) -1 = 0.467  Project Y: MIRR = 3(4,950/1,500)    – 1= 0.488 Therefore, Project Y should be undertaken as it has a higher rate of return Let us now talk about some of the advantages and disadvantages of MIRR: Advantages of MIRR: MIRR can be used to assess projects with inconsistent cash flow MIRR takes into consideration, the practically possible reinvestment rates  MIRR can be used to calculate project sensitivity as it measures variation between the cost of capital and financing cost. Disadvantages OF MIRR: MIRR demands computing an estimate of the cost of capital, which can be flawed as it is not subjective and can vary depending on the assumptions made. MIRR does not quantify the various impacts of different investments in absolute terms, it may also fail to produce optimal results in case of capital rationing. How MIRR solves the multiple IRR problems MIRR improves on standard IRR by adjusting for differences in assumed reinvestment rates of initial cash outlays and subsequent cash inflows.In a project with different periods of positive and negative cash flows, the IRR produces more than one solution which creates ambiguity. MIRR solves this problem by providing only one solution. Conclusion: MIRR is excellent to assess projects with a mix of positive and negative cash flow. It can also be used to compare the different investment projects of unequal sizes. MIRR also solves the issues associated with IRR having multiple solutions for the same project. It helps an individual to make a definite investment decision. MIRR also provides flexibility, allowing the project managers to change the assumed rate of reinvested growth from stage to stage in a project. If there are a series of investments at different times having different interest rates, then MIRR can offer more accurate results compared to IRR. To sum it up, although MIRR has certain disadvantages like its complexity, and assumptions considering the cost of capital. But its clarity and its ability to produce a single solution make it an attractive option for measuring investments.

Personal Finance

Ichimoku Cloud Definition and Uses

There can be two ways of evaluating a company’s stock while investing: technical analysis and fundamental analysis.  When discussing technical analysis, there are various methods to decide whether it is an excellent time to sell or buy a stock, especially in the case of intraday trading.  Today, we will talk about one of the most popular methods of technical analysis, Ichimoku Cloud. In this article, we will understand Ichimoku cloud, Ichimoku indicator, Ichimoku cloud indicator, Ichimoku trading strategies, Ichimoku trading, and Ichimoku cloud trading strategy.  What Is the Ichimoku Cloud? The Ichimoku Cloud is also known as Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. It is an adaptable indicator that defines support and resistance, identifies trend direction, gauges momentum and provides trading signals while conducting technical stock analysis.  Ichimoku Kinko Hyo, which means “one look equilibrium chart,” is a Japanese term. Journalist Goichi Hosoda created the indication, which was then made available in his book in 1969. Chartists can see the trend at a glance and search inside it for potential signs. The Ichimoku Cloud is a relatively simple indicator; the concepts are clear, and the signals are well-defined, even though it may appear complicated when examined on the price chart. In comparison to the traditional candlestick chart, it offers more data points. While it may appear complicated at first, individuals who know how to interpret charts frequently find it simple to comprehend with clear trading signals. A crucial component of the indication is the cloud. The trend is downward when the price is below the cloud. The trend is upward when the price is higher than the cloud. If the cloud moves in the same direction as the price, the aforementioned trend signals are strengthened. For instance, the cloud’s top moves upward during an uptrend and its bottom move downward during a decline. The Formulas for the Ichimoku Cloud There are five plots that make up the Ichimoku Cloud indicator. Their names and calculations are: TenkanSen (Conversion Line): (High + Low) / 2 default period = 9 KijunSen (Base Line): (High + Low) / 2 default period = 26  Chiku Span (Lagging Span): Price Close shifted back 26 bars  Senkou A (Leading Span A): (TenkanSen + KijunSen) / 2 (Senkou A is shifted forward 26 bars)  Senkou B (Leading Span B):  (High + Low) / 2 using period = 52 (Senkou B is shifted forward 26 bars) How to calculate? The highest and lowest prices recorded throughout the period—in the case of the conversion line, the highest and lowest prices recorded over the previous nine days—are the highs and lows. If you wish to compute it manually, you can add the Ichimoku Cloud indication to your chart. Here are the following steps that you need to follow: Calculate the Conversion Line and the Base Line A positive signal is generated during an uptrend when the Conversion Line crosses above the Base Line. Similarly, a negative signal is given when the Conversion Line crosses below the Base Line during a downturn. Calculate Leading Span A based on the prior calculations Span A is a 26-period ahead-plotted leading indicator. It is determined by taking the average of the tenken and kijun values over the previous 26 periods. Since it takes a short time to calculate, this indicator mainly slants with the prices rather than remaining flat. Calculate Leading Span B This indicator is calculated by averaging together the last 26 periods. Since it takes a while to calculate, it is usually flat; therefore, it can be used as a line of support when prices are above it and a line of resistance when prices are below it. Plot the closing price 26 periods in the past on the chart to get the lagging span. The cloud is drawn by colouring in the difference between Leading Spans A and B. Color the cloud green if Leading Span A is higher than Leading Span B. Color the cloud red if Leading Span A is lower than Leading Span B. This is how you can calculate Ichimoku Cloud to make a technical analysis of a stock. What does it indicate? Now that we know everything about Ichimoku cloud trading strategies, let’s understand what Ichimoku cloud indicates.  How should you assess the trend’s persistence and corrective actions? Price crossing the cloud signifies an upward trend. A downtrend is indicated when the price drops below the cloud. A sideways trend is indicated by price moving within the cloud. A cloud shifting from green to red indicates a correction during an uptrend. A cloud turning from red to green indicates a correction during a downtrend. How to assess support and resistance levels through Ichimoku trading? The first support line for an uptrend is provided by Leading span A. A second support line for an uptrend is provided by leading span B. A downtrend’s first resistance line is provided by Leading span A. For a downtrend, Leading span B acts as a second resistance line. How to recognize buy/sell signals  When the conversion line crosses Base line up from below, it is a signal to buy When the conversion line crosses Base line down from above, it is a signal to sell Limitations  There are always two faces of one coin, advantages and disadvantages. While pursuing Ichimoku Cloud trading strategies, you need to remember a few limitations it has while trading.  There are three main limitations that you need to keep in your mind; The Ichimoku Cloud’s reliance on historical data is one of its drawbacks. It’s possible that historical patterns won’t repeat themselves as traders might anticipate. The Ichimoku Cloud may generate erroneous indications like any other technical indicator.  Also, the indicator might not consider patterns that extend over a long period of time.

Personal Finance

All you need to know about Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

The core goal of investing money is to generate value, whether in stocks or other financial assets such as bonds. In investing, two things are imperative: i) return on investment and ii) risk involved. One can not exist without the other; if you invest in the equity market, you are prone to market fluctuations daily, which creates a question on how much return you should get on the risk undertaken? You can find this answer using the Capital Asset Pricing Model or CAPM.  What is CAPM? Capital Asset Pricing Model is the calculation to determine how much return can be expected given a certain percentage of risk. In corporate finance, the CAPM formula holds significance as it helps find the cost of equity investment which is necessary for calculating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). WACC helps in finding the real risk-return trade-off for a diversified portfolio.  The model was invented by the prominent economist and Nobel laureate William Sharpe in the early 1960s, which he later published in his book named Portfolio Theory and Capital Markets in 1970. He is also the inventor of the famous ‘Sharpe Ratio’. Each portfolio has a different cost of capital and degree of risk. As a result, one size doesn’t fit all and demands an efficient pricing model to gauge how much risk should be taken to gain a certain return and if it’s even worth it at all! CAPM model is the solution here.  The CAPM model considers the systematic risk of investment. If you wonder what systematic risk is, recall the market volatility when interest rate changes occur? In simple words, anything that affects the stock market becomes a systematic risk. With the inclusion of this market risk, the cost of equity returns becomes much more realistic.  These terms may sound complicated, but with some basic understanding, you can ace the calculation of the CAPM model. How to calculate CAPM? The CAPM formula is essential to ensure that the return on equity is at least equal to the cost involved. If it is less, the investment is a red flag and vice versa.  CAPM formula: Ra = (Rrf) + [βa * (Rm- Rrf) ] Whereas,  Ra = Expected return on equity asset Rrf = Risk-free rate of investment. Typically, the risk-free rate is equal to the 10-year US government bond. Though, the appropriate way is to consider country-specific bond rates. Ba = Beta (volatility) of the equity investment or stock. It shows the correlation of investment with the market fluctuations. For example, if a stock increases by 10% in reaction to market volatility, the Beta is said to be 1.1. The higher the Beta, the more the sensitivity to the market. If the Beta equals 1, the stock will behave the same as the market volatility; 1% move for 1% volatility. Beta can also be negative, which means that the stock value would reduce with regard to the market.  Rm – Rrf = Expected return of the market – Risk-free rate (Known as Risk Premium) Deduction of the risk-free rate of investment from the expected market return is also known as the market premium. The conscience here is that investors always prefer higher returns than the risk taken; they want a premium beyond the risk-free rate. The risk premium, in simple words, is investors’ compensation for undertaking the risk. We can also write the CAPM formula as: Expected return on equity = Risk-free rate (Beta of investment – Market premium)  Let’s understand the CAPM model better with the example.  CAPM example: The XYZ stock trades around Rs. 500 per share, and you expect to get a 5% return on this stock. It has a beta of 1.3, the market is likely to increase at the rate of 8%, and the risk-free rate is 3.5%. What is the cost of equity in this case or the return that can compensate you for the risk taken? Ra = (Rrf) + [ βa * (Rm- Rrf) ] Ra = 5 + [1.3 * (8 – 3.5)]  The return on your equity investment will be 10.85%.  Advantages of using CAPM  Below are the advantages of using CAPM.  The CAPM model considers the market risk, the systematic risk for investment, making the calculation realistic.  It helps calculate the cost of equity and, in turn, find the total cost of capital, aka WACC.  Compared to other models for calculating equity cost, such as the Dividend Growth Model (DGM), the application of CAPM is easier and has greater scalability.  Shortfalls of CAPM model Below are the disadvantages of using CAPM. CAPM is based on assumptions that there is perfect competition in the market and the market is highly efficient, which is not the case typically. There is always an opportunity to benefit from arbitrage trades.  Another assumption on which CAPM is based suggests that the investors are rational and averse to the risk. That is also a highly unrealistic expectation since investors often trade with emotions and are not rational.  The CAPM model doesn’t account for taxes an investor has to pay, which can sometimes reduce their returns. For example, In India, an investor has to pay a 10% long term capital gains tax on long term investment gains. This is not a part of calculating the cost of equity.  Apart from this, the other drawbacks include challenges to calculate Beta and potential frequent changes in the risk-free rate.  The bottom line Since its inception, the CAPM model has been used widely in the banking and finance industries. It helps in identifying assets worth investing in. It also played a vital role in bagging its inventor William Sharpe his joint Nobel prize. Yes, there are some assumptions used by this theory that has been a topic of debate for ages, but still, its application, without a doubt, holds significance. 

Fundamental Analysis

International trade theories – Overview, Reason & advantage

International trading is nothing but trading between two different countries. It is one of the most important factors in raising the standard of living, creating employment and providing consumers with various goods and services that are not easily accessible in their home countries. International trade has been there for generations, but in the past few decades, international trade has become increasingly important in increasing the GDP of a nation. A large part of our country’s GDP depends on its imports and exports. Let us now understand what international trade theory is. What’s the International Trade Theory The proposition of international trade simply explains how international trade works in different ways. Trading is the exchange of goods or services between two or more parties. The purpose of trading is for people to profit from the business. The goods or services may be demanded or wanted by them. International trade is the cross-border exchange of goods and services. Over time, several regulations have been developed to cover domestic dealers and the trade itself. The international trade proposition is dominated by how countries use their resources efficiently. Export and Import  Products vended on the global request are called exports, and products bought on the global request are called imports. The imports and exports are recorded in the current account section of the country’s balance of payments. Global trade allows developed countries to use their resources like labour, technology, and capital more efficiently. Different countries are endowed with different means and natural resources, similar as land, labour, capital, and technology. The efficient use of resources allows countries to produce some goods more efficiently and at a lower cost. However, if a country cannot produce an item efficiently, it can be obtained through trade with other countries. This is known as international trade specialization.  How International Trade Works? International trade is carried out along incredibly intricate supply chains that connect the countries which supply the raw materials, the manufacturing countries that make and process those materials, and the consumer countries that use the finished goods.  An import is a product that is purchased from the global market, whereas an export is a product that is sold to the global market. The network of supply routes, suppliers, processors, and consumers behaves like a living thing when trade is allowed to flourish. The chain will be affected when any one link changes, such as when an iron ore miner declares bankruptcy or when the price of the metal suddenly rises.  Numerous stimuli have the potential to cause change. The most frequent ones include shifting consumer demand for products, technological advancements, and new methods of transporting goods around the world. Why do we need international trade laws? In cross-border transactions, two or more entities trade internationally with each other beyond the territorial limits of a country or transact in a domestic trade where one or more of the parties is located outside the country of the transaction. Here are some of the reasons why countries need international trade laws: For financing cross-border transactions A cross-border financial arrangement is one that crosses national boundaries. The terms of this agreement include loans, letters of credit, banker’s acceptances, bank guarantees, depository receipts, etc. that require international trade laws. Buying or selling products or services It involves buying and selling goods and services. We need international trade laws for production and sales that take place outside the jurisdictional borders of a country. Combined research/shared services etc. Increasingly, businesses are utilizing shared services. To accomplish this, joint research programs are being established as an industry cartel or chamber of commerce. As these shared service centers provide services across borders, they are concerned with international trade if they are located in different parts of the world. Why is it important?  International trade theory explains and promotes international trade. A wrong or unwise view of international trade can seriously affect a country’s long-term financial stability. For example, various international trade theories compete over the idea that: Can countries ban products from other countries – through slavery or child labour? A trading theory focusing solely on financial ratios and statistics favours such businesses. Another trade theory would argue that the long-term effects of child labour would cause more harm to both countries involved in the trade. A third trade theory argues that trade based on slavery and child labour is inherently neither good nor bad for traders. Rather, it depends.  International trade theory is a very controversial and powerful theory, so it is important to study it well. Policymakers should be familiar with all possible theories and apply the most appropriate ones to their country’s specific circumstances.   Benefits of International trade Let us now understand some of the benefits of international trade laws: It creates job opportunities  International trade has the primary benefit of creating a wide range of job opportunities. Through international trade, new industries are developed to meet product demands in different countries, resulting in more jobs. Countries will certainly be able to reduce unemployment rates under this condition. Therefore, it will be easier for someone who does not have a job to find one. Leads to the prosperity of a country Each country’s income is also increased by international trade. In other words, the goods they need can be sold and obtained by countries that have advantages and disadvantages of an item. It is through international trade activities that needs will be met, and income will be increased. As a result, a country’s income will increase due to its prosperity. The needs of life are easier to fulfill International trade will also aid countries in meeting their needs if those needs are not produced in their home country. Having a wealth of natural resources is a necessity for every country. First, we must consider the geographical conditions, the climate, the level of skill and knowledge in science and technology, and so on. In the future, countries can produce their own products. Expanding markets and increasing income In addition to expanding the market

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